Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
San Lorenzo — Platense
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
San Lorenzo are slightly stronger: 38% against 29%, draw 33%.
2.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 33%, both teams to score — 42%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- San Lorenzo are 135 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- San Lorenzo: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: San Lorenzo 3 wins, Platense 2.
- Days of rest before the match: San Lorenzo 6, Platense 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: San Lorenzo — Platense What is xG? | 1.1–0.9 | |
| San Lorenzo not to lose | 71% | |
| Platense not to lose | 62% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 42% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 58% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 33% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 67% |
Model vs market
The model agrees with the market: no outcome differs by more than 2 points.
- San Lorenzo to winModel38%odds 2.63Market36%odds 2.75
- DrawModel33%odds 3.03Market33%odds 3.01
- Platense to winModel29%odds 3.45Market30%odds 3.29
- Total over 2.5Model33%odds 3.03Market32%odds 3.14
- Total under 2.5Model67%odds 1.49Market68%odds 1.47
- Both teams to score: yesModel42%odds 2.38Market42%odds 2.40
- Both teams to score: noModel58%odds 1.72Market58%odds 1.72
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap San Lorenzo
- San Lorenzo goals
- Platense goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | San Lorenzo | Platense |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.7 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 0.80 | 1.21 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.42 | 0.79 |
| Shots | 11.4 | 14.3 |
| On target | 3.5 | 4.0 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 7.6 |
| Cards | 3.0 | 2.7 |
| Possession, % | 45 | 54 |
Form
- 01.11away · Vélez Sarsfield2:2
- 25.10Newell's Old Boys0:0
- 19.10away · Estudiantes2:1
- 11.10Deportivo Riestra1:0
- 03.10away · Defensa y Justicia0:3
- 03.11Central Córdoba2:0
- 29.10away · Atlético Tucumán1:1
- 24.10away · Gimnasia Mendoza2:1
- 17.10Lanús0:1
- 11.10Argentinos Juniors1:1
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Platense — San Lorenzo0:1
- 16.08.2025Platense — San Lorenzo2:1
- 25.05.2025San Lorenzo — Platense0:1
- 14.02.2025San Lorenzo — Platense2:1
- 01.09.2024Platense — San Lorenzo1:2
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 4832201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- 363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
- 6025151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 3130392The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.3
- 3831311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- 6622121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 5428181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →