Argentine Liga Profesional · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Gimnasia Mendoza — Independiente Rivadavia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Independiente Rivadavia are slightly stronger: 39% against 31%, draw 30%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 40%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Independiente Rivadavia are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
- In recent matches the betting market rated Independiente Rivadavia higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gimnasia Mendoza — Independiente Rivadavia What is xG? | 1.1–1.2 | |
| Gimnasia Mendoza not to lose | 61% | |
| Independiente Rivadavia not to lose | 69% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 40% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 60% |
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- Handicap Gimnasia Mendoza
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- Independiente Rivadavia goals
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Gimnasia Mendoza | Independiente Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| xG per match | 1.01 | 1.23 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.61 | 1.27 |
| Shots | 13.3 | 12.7 |
| On target | 3.4 | 4.8 |
| Corners | 3.6 | 3.4 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| Possession, % | 50 | 44 |
Form
- 02.11away · Lanús1:1
- 24.10Platense1:2
- 18.10away · Vélez Sarsfield0:1
- 13.10Newell's Old Boys1:0
- 06.10away · Estudiantes0:3
- 03.11Banfield3:1
- 28.10away · Argentinos Juniors0:1
- 17.10Tigre2:2
- 11.10away · Rosario Central0:5
- 03.10Gimnasia La Plata1:1
Head to head
- 26.04.2026Independiente Rivadavia — Gimnasia Mendoza5:1
Liga Profesional on the same day
- 383329XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.0
- 4128311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.4
- 4832201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.8
- 363133XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
- 6025151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- 3831311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.2
- 6622121The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
- 5428181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →