Serie B, round 13 · Tuesday, 24 November, 22:00 (UTC+3)

Benevento — Empoli

Model prediction for 24 November

Benevento60%

Draw25%

Empoli15%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Benevento are clear favourites: 60% against 15% for the opponent, draw 25%.

2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Benevento are 137 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

League table: Benevento — No. 7, 15 pts; Empoli — No. 18, 8 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
Empoli: winless in 5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Benevento — Empoli What is xG?		1.9–0.9
Benevento not to lose		85%
Empoli not to lose		40%
No draw		75%
Both teams to score: yes		55%
Both teams to score: no		45%
Total over 2.5		54%
Total under 2.5		46%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Benevento
Benevento goals
Empoli goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Benevento	Empoli
Goals scored per match	1.4	1.0
Goals conceded per match	1.0	1.7
xG per match	1.56	0.95
Opponents’ xG	1.24	1.67
Shots	15.7	11.2
On target	4.6	3.6
Corners	5.6	4.2
Cards	2.7	2.3
Possession, %	51	45

Averages per match: Benevento — the last 10, Empoli — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Benevento

31.10away · Cremonese0:2
27.10Catanzaro1:1
24.10away · Arezzo3:0
17.10LR Vicenza2:2
10.10Cesena2:0

Empoli

01.11Juve Stabia2:2
27.10away · Cesena1:2
23.10LR Vicenza0:2
17.10away · Ascoli1:1
10.10Palermo2:4

Head to head

28.10.2020Benevento — Empoli2:4

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
6, Promotion play-offs	Avellino	10	4	3	3	15–10	+5	15
7, Promotion play-offs	Benevento	10	4	3	3	14–10	+4	15
8, Promotion play-offs	Pisa	10	4	3	3	18–15	+3	15
17, Relegation play-off	LR Vicenza	10	2	3	5	13–20	-7	9
18, Relegation	Empoli	10	2	2	6	10–17	-7	8
19, Relegation	Sampdoria	10	2	2	6	10–18	-8	8

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie B on the same day

21:00
Juve StabiaCatanzaropreliminary
502822
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
22:00
CesenaAscolipreliminary
362935
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
22:00
Virtus EntellaHellas Veronapreliminary
333037
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
22:00
LR VicenzaCarraresepreliminary
443026
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
22:00
PalermoSüdtirolpreliminary
662211
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →