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Serie B, round 13 · Tuesday, 24 November, (UTC+3)

LR Vicenza — Carrarese

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Model prediction for 24 November

LR Vicenza44%
Draw30%
Carrarese26%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

LR Vicenza are slightly stronger: 44% against 26%, draw 30%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 58%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • LR Vicenza are 61 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

  • League table: LR Vicenza — No. 17, 9 pts; Carrarese — No. 16, 10 pts. A gap of 1 pt.

Probabilities

Expected goals: LR Vicenza — Carrarese What is xG?1.5–1.2
LR Vicenza not to lose74%
Carrarese not to lose56%
No draw70%
Both teams to score: yes58%
Both teams to score: no42%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap LR Vicenza
  • LR Vicenza goals
  • Carrarese goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatLR VicenzaCarrarese
Goals scored per match1.30.9
Goals conceded per match2.01.3
xG per match1.141.31
Opponents’ xG1.641.29
Shots12.613.0
On target3.03.6
Corners5.75.1
Cards2.42.1
Possession, %4846

Averages per match: LR Vicenza — the last 10, Carrarese — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

LR Vicenza

  • 01.11away · Palermo1:3
  • 27.10Modena1:2
  • 23.10away · Empoli2:0
  • 17.10away · Benevento2:2
  • 10.10Pisa0:3

Carrarese

  • 01.11away · Hellas Verona0:3
  • 28.10Arezzo2:1
  • 25.10away · Palermo1:2
  • 17.10Modena2:1
  • 11.10away · Padova2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
15Virtus Entella1024411–12-110
16, Relegation play-offCarrarese103169–13-410
17, Relegation play-offLR Vicenza1023513–20-79
18, RelegationEmpoli1022610–17-78

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie B on the same day

  • Juve StabiaCatanzaropreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
  • BeneventoEmpolipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
  • CesenaAscolipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
  • Virtus EntellaHellas Veronapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
  • PalermoSüdtirolpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →