Serie B, round 13 · Tuesday, 24 November, 21:00 (UTC+3)

Juve Stabia — Catanzaro

Model prediction for 24 November

Juve Stabia50%

Draw28%

Catanzaro22%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Juve Stabia are clear favourites: 50% against 22% for the opponent, draw 28%.

2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

By the strength ratings Juve Stabia are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Juve Stabia are 138 points higher on Elo.

1 more fact behind the forecast — in Premium

Facts

League table: Juve Stabia — No. 11, 13 pts; Catanzaro — No. 20, 6 pts. A gap of 7 pts.
Catanzaro: winless in 5.
Last 4 meetings: Juve Stabia 1 win, Catanzaro 0, 3 draws.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Juve Stabia — Catanzaro What is xG?		1.6–1.1
Juve Stabia not to lose		78%
Catanzaro not to lose		50%
No draw		72%
Both teams to score: yes		56%
Both teams to score: no		44%
Total over 2.5		51%
Total under 2.5		49%

183 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Juve Stabia
Juve Stabia goals
Catanzaro goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Juve Stabia	Catanzaro
Goals scored per match	1.1	1.1
Goals conceded per match	1.1	2.2
xG per match	1.24	1.37
Opponents’ xG	1.21	1.96
Shots	15.2	14.2
On target	4.4	4.1
Corners	4.7	5.2
Cards	1.3	2.2
Possession, %	54	53

Averages per match: Juve Stabia — the last 10, Catanzaro — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Juve Stabia

01.11away · Empoli2:2
28.10Hellas Verona0:1
24.10away · Cremonese1:0
18.10Südtirol3:0
10.10away · Virtus Entella1:1

Catanzaro

31.10Padova1:1
27.10away · Benevento1:1
24.10Ascoli1:6
16.10away · Hellas Verona2:2
11.10Mantova1:3

Head to head

18.04.2026Juve Stabia — Catanzaro1:1
26.09.2025Catanzaro — Juve Stabia2:2
01.05.2025Juve Stabia — Catanzaro2:0
25.08.2024Catanzaro — Juve Stabia0:0

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
10	Padova	10	4	2	4	10–11	-1	14
11	Juve Stabia	10	3	4	3	11–11	0	13
12	Cremonese	10	3	3	4	10–11	-1	12
19, Relegation	Sampdoria	10	2	2	6	10–18	-8	8
20, Relegation	Catanzaro	10	1	3	6	11–22	-11	6

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie B on the same day

22:00
BeneventoEmpolipreliminary
602515
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
22:00
CesenaAscolipreliminary
362935
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
22:00
Virtus EntellaHellas Veronapreliminary
333037
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.5
22:00
LR VicenzaCarraresepreliminary
443026
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
22:00
PalermoSüdtirolpreliminary
662211
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →