Serie B, round 13 · Tuesday, 24 November, 22:00 (UTC+3)

Virtus Entella — Hellas Verona

Model prediction for 24 November

Virtus Entella33%

Draw30%

Hellas Verona37%

Model estimate at 06:09 (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Virtus Entella 33%, Hellas Verona 37%, draw 30%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 54%.

Why

By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
In recent matches the betting market rated Hellas Verona higher than the model did — the forecast takes it into account.

Facts

League table: Virtus Entella — No. 15, 10 pts; Hellas Verona — No. 5, 15 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
Hellas Verona: unbeaten in 4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Virtus Entella — Hellas Verona What is xG?		1.2–1.3
Virtus Entella not to lose		63%
Hellas Verona not to lose		67%
No draw		70%
Both teams to score: yes		54%
Both teams to score: no		46%
Total over 2.5		47%
Total under 2.5		53%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Handicap Virtus Entella
Virtus Entella goals
Hellas Verona goals
Corners and cards
Full score grid

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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

Stat	Virtus Entella	Hellas Verona
Goals scored per match	1.1	2.0
Goals conceded per match	1.2	1.2
xG per match	1.13	1.52
Opponents’ xG	0.90	1.06
Shots	14.5	14.2
On target	4.0	5.1
Corners	3.9	5.9
Cards	2.1	1.9
Possession, %	51	51

Averages per match: Virtus Entella — the last 10, Hellas Verona — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Virtus Entella

31.10away · Sampdoria0:2
27.10Avellino1:1
24.10Mantova0:1
17.10away · Padova2:1
10.10Juve Stabia1:1

Hellas Verona

01.11Carrarese3:0
28.10away · Juve Stabia1:0
25.10Pisa1:1
16.10Catanzaro2:2
11.10away · Modena2:3

Head to head

16.08.2026Hellas Verona — Virtus Entella2:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
4, Promotion play-offs	Mantova	10	5	3	2	15–11	+4	18
5, Promotion play-offs	Hellas Verona	10	4	3	3	19–13	+6	15
6, Promotion play-offs	Avellino	10	4	3	3	15–10	+5	15
14	Arezzo	10	3	2	5	9–19	-10	11
15	Virtus Entella	10	2	4	4	11–12	-1	10
16, Relegation play-off	Carrarese	10	3	1	6	9–13	-4	10

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie B on the same day

21:00
Juve StabiaCatanzaropreliminary
502822
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
22:00
BeneventoEmpolipreliminary
602515
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
22:00
CesenaAscolipreliminary
362935
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
22:00
LR VicenzaCarraresepreliminary
443026
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
22:00
PalermoSüdtirolpreliminary
662211
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →