Ukrainian Premier League, round 13 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Chornomorets Odesa — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Chornomorets Odesa 35%, Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi 32%, draw 33%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Chornomorets Odesa — No. 9, 9 pts; Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi — No. 10, 9 pts.
- Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chornomorets Odesa — Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi What is xG? | 1.2–1.1 | |
| Chornomorets Odesa not to lose | 68% | |
| Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi not to lose | 65% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Chornomorets Odesa
- Chornomorets Odesa goals
- Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Chornomorets Odesa | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 0.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 6.6 | 5.7 |
| On target | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Corners | 2.1 | 3.5 |
| Cards | 1.8 | 2.3 |
| Possession, % | 49 | 46 |
Form
- 31.10away · Veres Rivne3:1
- 25.10Karpaty0:0
- 17.10away · Zorya1:2
- 10.10FC Kharkiv1:2
- 18.09Obolon Kyiv1:1
- 02.11away · Zorya0:1
- 24.10FC Kharkiv1:2
- 18.10away · Karpaty2:2
- 10.10away · FC Kolos Kovalivka1:3
- 19.09Liviy Bereh0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | FC Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Chornomorets Odesa | 10 | 2 | -4 | 9 |
| 10 | Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi | 11 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 10 | 1 | -5 | 9 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- Dynamo KyivObolon Kyivpreliminary851141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
- KarpatyZoryapreliminary5128201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- FC Kolos KovalivkaFC Kharkivpreliminary303338XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.1
- KryvbasKudrivkapreliminary6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Liviy BerehShakhtar Donetskpreliminary822702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.3
- LNZ CherkasyPolissya Zhytomyrpreliminary2533422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.0
- Veres RivneBukovyna Chernivtsipreliminary353431XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 35% will not happen in roughly 65 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →