Ukrainian Premier League, round 13 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
FC Kolos Kovalivka — FC Kharkiv
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Kharkiv are slightly stronger: 38% against 30%, draw 33%.
The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: FC Kolos Kovalivka — No. 8, 11 pts; FC Kharkiv — No. 4, 21 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- FC Kharkiv: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: FC Kolos Kovalivka 0 wins, FC Kharkiv 1, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Kolos Kovalivka — FC Kharkiv What is xG? | 0.9–1.1 | |
| FC Kolos Kovalivka not to lose | 62% | |
| FC Kharkiv not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Kolos Kovalivka
- FC Kolos Kovalivka goals
- FC Kharkiv goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | FC Kolos Kovalivka | FC Kharkiv |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 7.5 | 11.3 |
| On target | 3.8 | 4.9 |
| Corners | 3.3 | 4.9 |
| Cards | 2.9 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 42 | 54 |
Form
- 23.10away · Veres Rivne2:0
- 17.10away · Shakhtar Donetsk1:2
- 10.10Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi3:1
- 20.09away · Kudrivka3:2
- 11.09Karpaty0:2
- 24.10away · Epitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyi2:1
- 19.10Liviy Bereh2:1
- 10.10away · Chornomorets Odesa2:1
- 19.09Bukovyna Chernivtsi2:0
- 05.09Obolon Kyiv5:0
Head to head
- 04.04.2026FC Kolos Kovalivka — FC Kharkiv0:0
- 28.09.2025FC Kharkiv — FC Kolos Kovalivka1:0
- 07.04.2024FC Kolos Kovalivka — FC Kharkiv1:1
- 24.09.2023FC Kharkiv — FC Kolos Kovalivka0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Dynamo Kyiv | 10 | 7 | +7 | 22 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 9 | 7 | +11 | 21 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 11 | 5 | +14 | 19 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | FC Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Chornomorets Odesa | 10 | 2 | -4 | 9 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 353332XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- Dynamo KyivObolon Kyivpreliminary851141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
- KarpatyZoryapreliminary5128201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- KryvbasKudrivkapreliminary6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Liviy BerehShakhtar Donetskpreliminary822702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.3
- LNZ CherkasyPolissya Zhytomyrpreliminary2533422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.0
- Veres RivneBukovyna Chernivtsipreliminary353431XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →