Ukrainian Premier League, round 13 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
LNZ Cherkasy — Polissya Zhytomyr
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Polissya Zhytomyr are slightly stronger: 42% against 25%, draw 33%.
The model expects few goals: 2.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 36%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Polissya Zhytomyr are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: LNZ Cherkasy — No. 7, 15 pts; Polissya Zhytomyr — No. 2, 25 pts. A gap of 10 pts.
- Polissya Zhytomyr: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: LNZ Cherkasy 2 wins, Polissya Zhytomyr 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: LNZ Cherkasy — Polissya Zhytomyr What is xG? | 0.9–1.2 | |
| LNZ Cherkasy not to lose | 58% | |
| Polissya Zhytomyr not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 36% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap LNZ Cherkasy
- LNZ Cherkasy goals
- Polissya Zhytomyr goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | LNZ Cherkasy | Polissya Zhytomyr |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.8 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 7.5 | 11.1 |
| On target | 3.5 | 4.5 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 4.9 |
| Cards | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| Possession, % | 41 | 53 |
Form
- 24.10away · Liviy Bereh0:0
- 18.10away · Kryvbas3:0
- 11.10Kudrivka2:1
- 20.09away · Shakhtar Donetsk0:3
- 12.09Obolon Kyiv3:1
- 23.10Obolon Kyiv3:0
- 18.10Dynamo Kyiv3:1
- 11.10away · Bukovyna Chernivtsi2:2
- 18.09Kryvbas1:0
- 13.09Liviy Bereh1:0
Head to head
- 28.02.2026LNZ Cherkasy — Polissya Zhytomyr1:3
- 17.08.2025Polissya Zhytomyr — LNZ Cherkasy0:2
- 28.03.2025LNZ Cherkasy — Polissya Zhytomyr0:1
- 22.09.2024Polissya Zhytomyr — LNZ Cherkasy1:1
- 01.03.2024Polissya Zhytomyr — LNZ Cherkasy0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Shakhtar Donetsk | 11 | 9 | +17 | 28 |
| 2, Europa League or Conference League | Polissya Zhytomyr | 10 | 8 | +15 | 25 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Dynamo Kyiv | 10 | 7 | +7 | 22 |
| 6 | Zorya | 11 | 5 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 10 | 4 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | FC Kolos Kovalivka | 9 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 353332XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- Dynamo KyivObolon Kyivpreliminary851141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
- KarpatyZoryapreliminary5128201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- FC Kolos KovalivkaFC Kharkivpreliminary303338XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.1
- KryvbasKudrivkapreliminary6123161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.2
- Liviy BerehShakhtar Donetskpreliminary822702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.3
- Veres RivneBukovyna Chernivtsipreliminary353431XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →