Ukrainian Premier League, round 13 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Kryvbas — Kudrivka
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Kryvbas are clear favourites: 61% against 16% for the opponent, draw 23%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Kryvbas are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Kryvbas are 171 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Kryvbas — No. 15, 6 pts; Kudrivka — No. 16, 5 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Kryvbas: winless in 5.
- Last 2 meetings: Kryvbas 2 wins, Kudrivka 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kryvbas — Kudrivka What is xG? | 2.1–1.1 | |
| Kryvbas not to lose | 84% | |
| Kudrivka not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Kryvbas
- Kryvbas goals
- Kudrivka goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Kryvbas | Kudrivka |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 6.6 | 4.6 |
| On target | 2.3 | 2.2 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 3.0 |
| Cards | 2.4 | 3.1 |
| Possession, % | 44 | 53 |
Form
- 02.11Dynamo Kyiv0:2
- 25.10away · Bukovyna Chernivtsi0:0
- 18.10LNZ Cherkasy0:3
- 18.09away · Polissya Zhytomyr0:1
- 05.09FC Kolos Kovalivka2:2
- 02.11away · Karpaty0:5
- 23.10away · Dynamo Kyiv1:3
- 17.10Bukovyna Chernivtsi4:1
- 11.10away · LNZ Cherkasy1:2
- 03.10away · Veres Rivne1:2
Head to head
- 12.04.2026Kudrivka — Kryvbas1:2
- 05.10.2025Kryvbas — Kudrivka3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Relegation play-off | Obolon Kyiv | 10 | 1 | -13 | 7 |
| 15, Relegation | Kryvbas | 9 | 1 | -8 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation | Kudrivka | 11 | 1 | -18 | 5 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- 353332XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.3
- Dynamo KyivObolon Kyivpreliminary851141The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
- KarpatyZoryapreliminary5128201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- FC Kolos KovalivkaFC Kharkivpreliminary303338XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.1
- Liviy BerehShakhtar Donetskpreliminary822702The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.3
- LNZ CherkasyPolissya Zhytomyrpreliminary2533422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.0
- Veres RivneBukovyna Chernivtsipreliminary353431XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →