Chilean Liga de Primera, round 28 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Cobresal — Audax Italiano
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Cobresal 40%, Audax Italiano 34%, draw 26%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Cobresal — No. 14, 27 pts; Audax Italiano — No. 13, 30 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Cobresal: unbeaten in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Cobresal 1 win, Audax Italiano 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cobresal — Audax Italiano What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Cobresal not to lose | 66% | |
| Audax Italiano not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Cobresal
- Cobresal goals
- Audax Italiano goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Cobresal | Audax Italiano |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 16.9 | 13.2 |
| On target | 6.4 | 4.3 |
| Corners | 5.5 | 4.5 |
| Cards | 2.7 | 3.8 |
| Possession, % | 44 | 46 |
Form
- 01.11Everton CD2:2
- 25.10away · O'Higgins1:1
- 10.10Universidad de Concepción1:1
- 12.09Coquimbo Unido3:2
- 08.09away · Deportes Limache0:3
- 03.11away · Deportes Limache0:2
- 29.10away · Universidad Católica1:1
- 24.10Huachipato1:1
- 14.09O'Higgins1:0
- 05.09away · Deportes Concepción1:0
Head to head
- 23.05.2026Audax Italiano — Cobresal2:1
- 04.03.2026Cobresal — Audax Italiano1:1
- 31.10.2025Audax Italiano — Cobresal1:2
- 17.05.2025Cobresal — Audax Italiano0:1
- 25.09.2024Cobresal — Audax Italiano0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | O'Higgins | 26 | 9 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 26 | 7 | -7 | 30 |
| 14 | Cobresal | 26 | 7 | -10 | 27 |
| 15, Relegation | Universidad de Concepción | 26 | 6 | -28 | 23 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- Colo ColoUniversidad Católicapreliminary5722211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
- Coquimbo UnidoEverton CDpreliminary4725281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Deportes LimacheLa Serenapreliminary5123261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- PalestinoUnión La Calerapreliminary5224241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- O'HigginsUniversidad de Chilepreliminary2827452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- HuachipatoDeportes Concepciónpreliminary4028321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Universidad de ConcepciónÑublensepreliminary3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →