Chilean Liga de Primera, round 28 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
O'Higgins — Universidad de Chile
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Universidad de Chile are slightly stronger: 45% against 28%, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Universidad de Chile are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
- Universidad de Chile are 128 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: O'Higgins — No. 12, 31 pts; Universidad de Chile — No. 2, 48 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: O'Higgins 0 wins, Universidad de Chile 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: O'Higgins — Universidad de Chile What is xG? | 1.1–1.5 | |
| O'Higgins not to lose | 55% | |
| Universidad de Chile not to lose | 72% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap O'Higgins
- O'Higgins goals
- Universidad de Chile goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | O'Higgins | Universidad de Chile |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.1 | 2.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 16.2 | 19.8 |
| On target | 5.1 | 7.2 |
| Corners | 5.6 | 7.1 |
| Cards | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Possession, % | 56 | 63 |
Form
- 01.11Ñublense1:0
- 25.10Cobresal1:1
- 10.10away · Huachipato0:2
- 14.09away · Audax Italiano0:1
- 06.09Unión La Calera2:1
- 01.11away · Universidad Católica0:1
- 27.10Everton CD4:1
- 12.10Ñublense6:0
- 13.09away · La Serena3:0
- 06.09Coquimbo Unido4:2
Head to head
- 19.06.2026Universidad de Chile — O'Higgins2:0
- 24.11.2025O'Higgins — Universidad de Chile0:1
- 31.05.2025Universidad de Chile — O'Higgins6:0
- 18.08.2024O'Higgins — Universidad de Chile0:4
- 17.03.2024Universidad de Chile — O'Higgins1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colo Colo | 26 | 18 | +28 | 58 |
| 2 | Universidad de Chile | 26 | 14 | +24 | 48 |
| 3 | Universidad Católica | 26 | 14 | +16 | 46 |
| 11 | La Serena | 26 | 8 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | O'Higgins | 26 | 9 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Audax Italiano | 26 | 7 | -7 | 30 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- Colo ColoUniversidad Católicapreliminary5722211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
- CobresalAudax Italianopreliminary4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Coquimbo UnidoEverton CDpreliminary4725281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Deportes LimacheLa Serenapreliminary5123261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- PalestinoUnión La Calerapreliminary5224241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- HuachipatoDeportes Concepciónpreliminary4028321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- Universidad de ConcepciónÑublensepreliminary3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →