Chilean Liga de Primera, round 28 · Sunday, 22 November, (UTC+3)
Huachipato — Deportes Concepción
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Huachipato are slightly stronger: 40% against 32%, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.4 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 47%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Huachipato are 52 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Huachipato — No. 7, 36 pts; Deportes Concepción — No. 9, 35 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Huachipato: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Huachipato — Deportes Concepción What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Huachipato not to lose | 68% | |
| Deportes Concepción not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 47% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 53% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Huachipato
- Huachipato goals
- Deportes Concepción goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Huachipato | Deportes Concepción |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 0.7 |
| xG per match | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Shots | 11.1 | 12.4 |
| On target | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| Corners | 3.7 | 4.1 |
| Cards | 1.9 | 2.5 |
| Possession, % | 40 | 43 |
Form
- 01.11La Serena0:0
- 24.10away · Audax Italiano1:1
- 10.10O'Higgins2:0
- 03.10away · Universidad de Concepción2:0
- 17.09away · Coquimbo Unido1:0
- 03.11Palestino1:0
- 24.10away · La Serena1:3
- 11.10Unión La Calera1:1
- 13.09away · Colo Colo1:1
- 05.09Audax Italiano0:1
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Deportes Concepción — Huachipato2:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Palestino | 26 | 11 | +2 | 38 |
| 7 | Huachipato | 26 | 10 | -5 | 36 |
| 8 | Coquimbo Unido | 26 | 10 | +2 | 35 |
| 9 | Deportes Concepción | 26 | 10 | -2 | 35 |
| 10 | Ñublense | 26 | 9 | -9 | 35 |
Chilean Primera on the same day
- Colo ColoUniversidad Católicapreliminary5722211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.3
- CobresalAudax Italianopreliminary4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Coquimbo UnidoEverton CDpreliminary4725281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
- Deportes LimacheLa Serenapreliminary5123261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
- PalestinoUnión La Calerapreliminary5224241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
- O'HigginsUniversidad de Chilepreliminary2827452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.6
- Universidad de ConcepciónÑublensepreliminary3728351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →