Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 4 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Estoril — Felgueiras 1932
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Estoril are clear favourites: 59% against 18% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Estoril are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
- Estoril are 258 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Estoril: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Estoril — Felgueiras 1932 What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| Estoril not to lose | 82% | |
| Felgueiras 1932 not to lose | 41% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Estoril
- Estoril goals
- Felgueiras 1932 goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 31.10away · FC Porto0:4
- 25.10Moreirense1:3
- 18.10away · Salgueiros1:1
- 10.10away · Académico Viseu1:2
- 20.09Casa Pia AC1:2
- 18.10AD Fafe1:0
- 19.09away · Naval2:0
- 19.10away · Atlético0:2
- 20.09away · Sanjoanense4:0
- 22.09away · Amora FC0:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- AtléticoCasa Pia ACpreliminary2425502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.8
- MafraAroucapreliminary916742The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.2
- AVS Futebol SADTondelapreliminary4027331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- MarítimoChavespreliminary3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Sporting CPUnião Serrapreliminary97201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 5:05.3
- Vitória de GuimarãesBragapreliminary2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →