Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 4 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Sporting CP — União Serra
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sporting CP are clear favourites: 97% against 0% for the opponent, draw 2%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 90%, both teams to score — 32%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sporting CP are about 2.3 goals per match stronger.
- Sporting CP are 777 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sporting CP — União Serra What is xG? | 4.9–0.4 | |
| Sporting CP not to lose | 100% | |
| União Serra not to lose | 3% | |
| No draw | 98% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 32% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 68% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 90% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 10% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Sporting CP
- Sporting CP goals
- União Serra goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Team news
Form
- 03.11away · Shakhtar Donetsk1:0
- 30.10away · Casa Pia AC2:0
- 25.10Académico Viseu1:2
- 21.10LASK2:3
- 13.10away · Lens2:0
- 18.10away · Vitória de Setúbal1:1
- 20.09away · Amora FC4:3
- 21.09away · CD Olivais e Moscavide0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- AtléticoCasa Pia ACpreliminary2425502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.8
- MafraAroucapreliminary916742The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.2
- AVS Futebol SADTondelapreliminary4027331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- MarítimoChavespreliminary3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- EstorilFelgueiras 1932preliminary5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Vitória de GuimarãesBragapreliminary2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 97% will not happen in roughly 3 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →