Taca de Portugal (Portuguese Cup), round 4 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Marítimo — Chaves
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Marítimo 39%, Chaves 34%, draw 27%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Marítimo are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 3 meetings: Marítimo 0 wins, Chaves 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Marítimo — Chaves What is xG? | 1.4–1.3 | |
| Marítimo not to lose | 66% | |
| Chaves not to lose | 61% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Handicap Marítimo
- Marítimo goals
- Chaves goals
- Corners and cards
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Team news
Form
- 01.11Santa Clara0:2
- 23.10away · Vitória de Guimarães0:5
- 18.10away · Alcochetense2:1
- 10.10FC Porto1:2
- 19.09away · Gil Vicente1:1
- 16.10CF Marialvas2:1
- 20.09away · Guarda FC3:2
- 17.10Benfica0:2
- 20.09away · Paredes2:0
- 23.11away · Casa Pia AC0:3
Head to head
- 05.02.2023Chaves — Marítimo2:1
- 15.08.2022Marítimo — Chaves1:2
- 02.02.2019Chaves — Marítimo1:0
Taca de Portugal on the same day
- AtléticoCasa Pia ACpreliminary2425502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:32.8
- MafraAroucapreliminary916742The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.2
- AVS Futebol SADTondelapreliminary4027331The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
- Sporting CPUnião Serrapreliminary97201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 5:05.3
- EstorilFelgueiras 1932preliminary5923181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.9
- Vitória de GuimarãesBragapreliminary2626482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →