Norwegian Eliteserien, round 26 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Hamarkameratene — Sarpsborg 08
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Sarpsborg 08 are slightly stronger: 42% against 30%, draw 28%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sarpsborg 08 are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Hamarkameratene — No. 13, 27 pts; Sarpsborg 08 — No. 9, 31 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Hamarkameratene 1 win, Sarpsborg 08 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Hamarkameratene — Sarpsborg 08 What is xG? | 1.5–1.7 | |
| Hamarkameratene not to lose | 58% | |
| Sarpsborg 08 not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Hamarkameratene | Sarpsborg 08 |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.7 | 2.0 |
| xG per match | 1.13 | 2.09 |
| Opponents’ xG | 2.27 | 1.64 |
| Shots | 10.7 | 18.5 |
| On target | 2.9 | 5.5 |
| Corners | 4.3 | 7.8 |
| Cards | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Possession, % | 44 | 53 |
Form
- 01.11away · KFUM2:2
- 24.10Rosenborg0:3
- 17.10Bodø/Glimt0:2
- 11.10away · Start4:2
- 20.09away · Tromsø2:3
- 01.11Kristiansund2:4
- 25.10Aalesund2:1
- 18.10Rosenborg0:3
- 11.10away · Aalesund4:2
- 18.09KFUM1:3
Head to head
- 26.07.2026Sarpsborg 08 — Hamarkameratene1:0
- 31.08.2025Hamarkameratene — Sarpsborg 081:3
- 11.05.2025Sarpsborg 08 — Hamarkameratene4:0
- 20.10.2024Hamarkameratene — Sarpsborg 080:2
- 16.05.2024Sarpsborg 08 — Hamarkameratene1:7
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Vålerenga | 25 | 9 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 25 | 8 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | KFUM | 25 | 8 | -9 | 31 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Hamarkameratene | 25 | 7 | -18 | 27 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Aalesund | 25 | 5 | -14 | 24 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- 1924572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
- 781571The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 5622211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.8
- 2326512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.4
- 3328382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →