Norwegian Eliteserien, round 26 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Tromsø — Bodø/Glimt
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Bodø/Glimt are clear favourites: 57% against 19% for the opponent, draw 24%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 66%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Bodø/Glimt are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.
- Bodø/Glimt are 158 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Tromsø — No. 6, 40 pts; Bodø/Glimt — No. 2, 59 pts. A gap of 19 pts.
- Tromsø: winless in 4.
- Last 5 meetings: Tromsø 1 win, Bodø/Glimt 2, 2 draws.
- Days of rest before the match: Tromsø 7, Bodø/Glimt 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tromsø — Bodø/Glimt What is xG? | 1.2–2.1 | |
| Tromsø not to lose | 43% | |
| Bodø/Glimt not to lose | 81% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 66% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 34% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 68% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 32% |
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- All totals
- Handicap Tromsø
- Tromsø goals
- Bodø/Glimt goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Tromsø | Bodø/Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.3 | 1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.44 | 2.04 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.55 | 1.13 |
| Shots | 12.0 | 15.5 |
| On target | 5.0 | 5.3 |
| Corners | 4.0 | 5.6 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 0.6 |
| Possession, % | 50 | 56 |
Form
- 01.11away · Vålerenga0:4
- 25.10away · Viking1:3
- 18.10KFUM1:1
- 11.10away · Fredrikstad1:1
- 20.09Hamarkameratene3:2
- 03.11Lille0:0
- 30.10Viking3:2
- 24.10Vålerenga0:1
- 20.10away · Napoli3:4
- 17.10away · Hamarkameratene2:0
Head to head
- 16.05.2026Bodø/Glimt — Tromsø5:0
- 09.08.2025Bodø/Glimt — Tromsø1:1
- 16.05.2025Tromsø — Bodø/Glimt2:1
- 19.10.2024Tromsø — Bodø/Glimt0:0
- 16.05.2024Bodø/Glimt — Tromsø4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Viking | 25 | 19 | +38 | 59 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19 | +38 | 59 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Molde | 25 | 13 | +20 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrøm | 25 | 13 | +3 | 42 |
| 6 | Tromsø | 25 | 11 | +5 | 40 |
| 7 | Brann | 25 | 10 | +3 | 32 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- 781571The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 5622211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.8
- 3028422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- 2326512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.4
- 3328382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →