Norwegian Eliteserien, round 26 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Sandefjord — Molde
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Molde are clear favourites: 51% against 23% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 66%, both teams to score — 68%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Molde are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Sandefjord — No. 12, 27 pts; Molde — No. 3, 43 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Sandefjord 4 wins, Molde 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sandefjord — Molde What is xG? | 1.4–2.0 | |
| Sandefjord not to lose | 49% | |
| Molde not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 32% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 66% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 34% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Sandefjord | Molde |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.3 | 3.1 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| xG per match | 1.55 | 2.93 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.91 | 1.51 |
| Shots | 16.3 | 19.8 |
| On target | 4.7 | 8.0 |
| Corners | 4.7 | 6.1 |
| Cards | 2.4 | 2.1 |
| Possession, % | 52 | 62 |
Form
- 31.10away · Aalesund4:3
- 25.10away · Start0:1
- 18.10Lillestrøm0:2
- 10.10away · Rosenborg1:1
- 20.09Start3:0
Head to head
- 30.05.2026Molde — Sandefjord2:1
- 19.10.2025Molde — Sandefjord1:3
- 06.04.2025Sandefjord — Molde3:0
- 19.10.2024Molde — Sandefjord0:1
- 05.05.2024Sandefjord — Molde3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19 | +38 | 59 |
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Molde | 25 | 13 | +20 | 43 |
| 4, Europa League or Conference League | Rosenborg | 25 | 13 | +18 | 43 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8 | -15 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Hamarkameratene | 25 | 7 | -18 | 27 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- 1924572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.3
- 781571The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.3
- 5622211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.8
- 3028422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- 3328382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →