Norwegian Eliteserien, round 26 · Sunday, 8 November, (UTC+3)
Viking — KFUM
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 8 November
In short
Viking are clear favourites: 78% against 7% for the opponent, draw 15%.
3.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 65%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Viking are about 1.1 goals per match stronger.
- Viking are 384 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Viking — No. 1, 59 pts; KFUM — No. 10, 31 pts. A gap of 28 pts.
- KFUM: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Viking 4 wins, KFUM 0, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Viking 9, KFUM 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Viking — KFUM What is xG? | 2.5–0.8 | |
| Viking not to lose | 93% | |
| KFUM not to lose | 22% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 65% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 35% |
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Viking | KFUM |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 2.7 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| xG per match | 1.83 | 1.47 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.73 | 1.89 |
| Shots | 14.4 | 10.7 |
| On target | 5.4 | 3.6 |
| Corners | 5.4 | 4.0 |
| Cards | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 43 | 43 |
Form
- 30.10away · Bodø/Glimt2:3
- 25.10Tromsø3:1
- 21.10away · Aston Villa1:3
- 17.10Fredrikstad3:2
- 13.10Bayern München3:3
- 01.11Hamarkameratene2:2
- 25.10away · Kristiansund2:2
- 18.10away · Tromsø1:1
- 12.10Vålerenga2:1
- 18.09away · Sarpsborg 083:1
Head to head
- 10.05.2026KFUM — Viking0:2
- 14.09.2025KFUM — Viking2:2
- 06.04.2025Viking — KFUM3:1
- 14.09.2024Viking — KFUM1:0
- 07.07.2024KFUM — Viking1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Champions League qualifying | Viking | 25 | 19 | +38 | 59 |
| 2, Champions League qualifying | Bodø/Glimt | 25 | 19 | +38 | 59 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 | 25 | 8 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 | KFUM | 25 | 8 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8 | -15 | 29 |
Eliteserien on the same day
- 1924572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.4
- 5622211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.8
- 3028422The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.2
- 2326512The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.4
- 3328382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 78% will not happen in roughly 22 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →