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Serie B, round 11 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)

Juve Stabia — Arezzo

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Model prediction for 7 November

Juve Stabia56%
Draw26%
Arezzo18%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

In short

Juve Stabia are clear favourites: 56% against 18% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Juve Stabia are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
  • Juve Stabia are 163 points higher on Elo.

Facts

  • League table: Juve Stabia — No. 11, 13 pts; Arezzo — No. 14, 11 pts. A gap of 2 pts.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Juve Stabia — Arezzo What is xG?1.7–0.9
Juve Stabia not to lose82%
Arezzo not to lose44%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.550%
Total under 2.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Juve Stabia
  • Juve Stabia goals
  • Arezzo goals
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Team news

No news on injuries, suspensions or lineups yet. It usually comes 1–3 days before the match, the lineups about an hour before; this page updates every 15 minutes.

The teams in their last matches

StatJuve StabiaArezzo
Goals scored per match1.10.9
Goals conceded per match1.11.9
xG per match1.240.98
Opponents’ xG1.211.71
Shots15.210.9
On target4.42.8
Corners4.73.8
Cards1.31.6
Possession, %5443

Averages per match: Juve Stabia — the last 10, Arezzo — the last 10 matches in all competitions.

Form

Juve Stabia

  • 01.11away · Empoli2:2
  • 28.10Hellas Verona0:1
  • 24.10away · Cremonese1:0
  • 18.10Südtirol3:0
  • 10.10away · Virtus Entella1:1

Arezzo

  • 01.11Ascoli0:0
  • 28.10away · Carrarese1:2
  • 24.10Benevento0:3
  • 18.10away · Sampdoria2:1
  • 10.10Cremonese0:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
10Padova1042410–11-114
11Juve Stabia1034311–11013
12Cremonese1033410–11-112
13Cesena1026211–14-312
14Arezzo103259–19-1011
15Virtus Entella1024411–12-110

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie B on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →