Serie B, round 11 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Mantova — Hellas Verona
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Evenly matched: Mantova 34%, Hellas Verona 36%, draw 30%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
- Mantova are 99 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Mantova — No. 4, 18 pts; Hellas Verona — No. 5, 15 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Hellas Verona: unbeaten in 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mantova — Hellas Verona What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Mantova not to lose | 64% | |
| Hellas Verona not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mantova
- Mantova goals
- Hellas Verona goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Mantova | Hellas Verona |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.5 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.5 | 1.2 |
| xG per match | 1.37 | 1.52 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.62 | 1.06 |
| Shots | 13.2 | 14.2 |
| On target | 5.6 | 5.1 |
| Corners | 4.1 | 5.9 |
| Cards | 2.2 | 1.9 |
| Possession, % | 52 | 51 |
Form
- 31.10away · Modena1:1
- 27.10Cremonese0:2
- 24.10away · Virtus Entella1:0
- 17.10Palermo0:2
- 11.10away · Catanzaro3:1
- 01.11Carrarese3:0
- 28.10away · Juve Stabia1:0
- 25.10Pisa1:1
- 16.10Catanzaro2:2
- 11.10away · Modena2:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Ascoli | 10 | 5 | +10 | 19 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Mantova | 10 | 5 | +4 | 18 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Hellas Verona | 10 | 4 | +6 | 15 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Avellino | 10 | 4 | +5 | 15 |
Serie B on the same day
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 4631231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 6223151The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 5228201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →