Serie B, round 11 · Saturday, 7 November, (UTC+3)
Pisa — Südtirol
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 7 November
In short
Pisa are clear favourites: 62% against 15% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Pisa are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Pisa are 210 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Pisa — No. 8, 15 pts; Südtirol — No. 9, 14 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Südtirol: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Pisa 2 wins, Südtirol 1, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pisa — Südtirol What is xG? | 1.9–0.9 | |
| Pisa not to lose | 85% | |
| Südtirol not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Pisa
- Pisa goals
- Südtirol goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Pisa | Südtirol |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.7 | 1.1 |
| xG per match | 1.73 | 1.00 |
| Opponents’ xG | 1.15 | 1.56 |
| Shots | 14.6 | 11.5 |
| On target | 5.4 | 3.4 |
| Corners | 5.8 | 3.1 |
| Cards | 2.3 | 1.8 |
| Possession, % | 50 | 52 |
Form
- 01.11away · Avellino0:2
- 28.10Palermo3:3
- 25.10away · Hellas Verona1:1
- 17.10Cremonese3:1
- 10.10away · LR Vicenza3:0
- 31.10Cesena1:1
- 27.10away · Padova0:2
- 24.10Sampdoria1:1
- 18.10away · Juve Stabia0:3
- 10.10Ascoli0:0
Head to head
- 09.05.2025Pisa — Südtirol3:3
- 19.10.2024Südtirol — Pisa1:2
- 05.05.2024Pisa — Südtirol2:2
- 11.11.2023Südtirol — Pisa1:2
- 04.02.2023Pisa — Südtirol0:1
Table
Serie B on the same day
- 4927241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 5626181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 4631231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
- 3430362The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8
- 5228201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →