English Premier League, round 11 · Saturday, 21 November, (UTC+3)
Tottenham Hotspur — Ipswich Town
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Tottenham Hotspur are clear favourites: 62% against 15% for the opponent, draw 23%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Tottenham Hotspur are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
- Tottenham Hotspur are 188 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- League table: Tottenham Hotspur — No. 9, 12 pts; Ipswich Town — No. 14, 11 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Tottenham Hotspur: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Tottenham Hotspur 1 win, Ipswich Town 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Tottenham Hotspur — Ipswich Town What is xG? | 2.0–1.0 | |
| Tottenham Hotspur not to lose | 85% | |
| Ipswich Town not to lose | 38% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Tottenham Hotspur
- Tottenham Hotspur goals
- Ipswich Town goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Team news
The teams in their last matches
| Stat | Tottenham Hotspur | Ipswich Town |
|---|---|---|
| Goals scored per match | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| xG per match | 1.45 | 1.23 |
| Opponents’ xG | 0.83 | 1.96 |
| Shots | 17.6 | 11.2 |
| On target | 5.3 | 4.6 |
| Corners | 8.8 | 3.1 |
| Cards | 1.6 | 2.3 |
| Possession, % | 63 | 46 |
Form
- 31.10Crystal Palace2:0
- 24.10away · Chelsea2:0
- 19.10Coventry City3:1
- 10.10away · Manchester United1:1
- 19.09Aston Villa2:3
- 31.10away · Hull City2:2
- 23.10Nottingham Forest1:1
- 17.10away · Manchester City2:3
- 10.10Fulham2:1
- 19.09away · Everton0:1
Head to head
- 22.02.2025Ipswich Town — Tottenham Hotspur1:4
- 10.11.2024Tottenham Hotspur — Ipswich Town1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | AFC Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 9 | Tottenham Hotspur | 9 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 9 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 | Newcastle United | 9 | 3 | -3 | 11 |
| 14 | Ipswich Town | 9 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Fulham | 9 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
Premier League on the same day
- Manchester CityFulhampreliminary6821111The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- AFC BournemouthNottingham Forestpreliminary4729241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- Aston VillaSunderlandpreliminary4530251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- ChelseaLeeds Unitedpreliminary5026231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.0
- Coventry CityCrystal Palacepreliminary343235XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.7
- Newcastle UnitedArsenalpreliminary1925572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →