VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Bars — Krasnoyarsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Bars are favourites: 53% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.0 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 26%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.1 and 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Bars — No. 21, 19 pts; Krasnoyarsk — No. 24, 16 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Bars: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Bars 2 wins, Krasnoyarsk 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Bars — Krasnoyarsk | 2.1–1.9 | |
| Bars to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Krasnoyarsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 26% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 74% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Bars
- Bars goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 02.11away · AKM0:3
- 31.10away · Ryazan1:2
- 25.10Almetyevsk0:2
- 23.10CSK VVS3:2
- 16.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:4
- 02.11Khimik2:4
- 27.10away · Gornyak3:0
- 25.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:2
- 23.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:2 SO
- 21.10away · Orsk3:1
Head to head
- 25.12.2025Bars — Krasnoyarsk4:2
- 26.11.2025Krasnoyarsk — Bars5:1
- 27.12.2024Krasnoyarsk — Bars2:1
- 17.11.2024Bars — Krasnoyarsk5:2
- 14.02.2024Bars — Krasnoyarsk2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rubin Tyumen | 19 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 21 | Bars | 20 | 9 | -16 | 19 |
| 22 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 17 | 5 | -5 | 16 |
| 23 | Dyn. Altay | 19 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 24 | Krasnoyarsk | 20 | 8 | -14 | 16 |
| 25 | Dizel | 18 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskTambovpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- GornyakBuran Voronezhpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskKristall Saratovpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- CSK VVSMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Magnitka MagnitogorskDizelpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- KhimikHC Yugrapreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- Zvezda MoscowRubin Tyumenpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- Dinamo St. PetersburgKurganpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →