VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Zvezda Moscow — Rubin Tyumen
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Zvezda Moscow 53%, Rubin Tyumen 47% including overtime.
4.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 31%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Zvezda Moscow — No. 26, 15 pts; Rubin Tyumen — No. 20, 19 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Rubin Tyumen: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Zvezda Moscow 3 wins, Rubin Tyumen 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zvezda Moscow — Rubin Tyumen | 2.3–2.1 | |
| Zvezda Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Rubin Tyumen to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 31% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 69% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Zvezda Moscow
- Zvezda Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11away · Krasnoyarsk1:2
- 01.11away · HC Norilsk2:5
- 24.10Kaluga3:2 OT
- 22.10AKM4:3 OT
- 20.10Ryazan2:3
- 03.11Orsk3:4 SO
- 28.10away · Perm2:5
- 26.10away · Toros Neftekamsk1:4
- 24.10away · Izhevsk5:2
- 22.10away · Olympia0:1 SO
Head to head
- 23.01.2026Zvezda Moscow — Rubin Tyumen1:3
- 25.10.2025Rubin Tyumen — Zvezda Moscow3:2
- 10.01.2025Rubin Tyumen — Zvezda Moscow2:4
- 09.11.2024Zvezda Moscow — Rubin Tyumen6:3
- 07.12.2023Zvezda Moscow — Rubin Tyumen3:2 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 18 | 8 | -5 | 19 |
| 20 | Rubin Tyumen | 19 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 21 | Bars | 20 | 9 | -16 | 19 |
| 25 | Dizel | 18 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 26 | Zvezda Moscow | 19 | 7 | -15 | 15 |
| 27 | Kurgan | 18 | 5 | -18 | 14 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskTambovpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- GornyakBuran Voronezhpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskKristall Saratovpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- CSK VVSMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Magnitka MagnitogorskDizelpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- BarsKrasnoyarskpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- KhimikHC Yugrapreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- Dinamo St. PetersburgKurganpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →