VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Khimik — HC Yugra
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
HC Yugra are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.2 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 28%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.0 and 2.2.
Facts
- League table: Khimik — No. 8, 26 pts; HC Yugra — No. 12, 23 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Khimik 1 win, HC Yugra 4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Khimik — HC Yugra | 2.0–2.2 | |
| Khimik to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| HC Yugra to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 28% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 72% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Khimik
- Khimik goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 04.11away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk6:5
- 02.11away · Krasnoyarsk4:2
- 30.10away · HC Norilsk4:5
- 22.10Kaluga2:3 SO
- 20.10AKM2:3 SO
- 30.10away · Perm2:3 SO
- 28.10away · Toros Neftekamsk2:5
- 26.10away · Izhevsk5:4
- 24.10away · Olympia4:0
- 19.10Kristall Saratov3:1
Head to head
- 26.05.2026HC Yugra — Khimik4:0
- 23.05.2026Khimik — HC Yugra0:3
- 21.05.2026Khimik — HC Yugra1:2
- 18.05.2026HC Yugra — Khimik3:4
- 16.05.2026HC Yugra — Khimik2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 21 | 12 | +14 | 27 |
| 8, Playoffs | Khimik | 20 | 11 | +22 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs | Kaluga | 20 | 11 | +9 | 26 |
| 11, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 18 | 11 | +6 | 24 |
| 12, Playoffs | HC Yugra | 19 | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 13, Playoffs | Toros Neftekamsk | 19 | 10 | +4 | 23 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskTambovpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- GornyakBuran Voronezhpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskKristall Saratovpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- CSK VVSMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Magnitka MagnitogorskDizelpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- BarsKrasnoyarskpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- Zvezda MoscowRubin Tyumenpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
- Dinamo St. PetersburgKurganpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →