VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Gornyak — Buran Voronezh
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Gornyak are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- Gornyak are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Gornyak — No. 18, 20 pts; Buran Voronezh — No. 11, 24 pts. A gap of 4 pts.
- Buran Voronezh: 3 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: Gornyak 4 wins, Buran Voronezh 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Gornyak — Buran Voronezh | 2.4–2.0 | |
| Gornyak to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Buran Voronezh to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Gornyak
- Gornyak goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 31.10Dyn. Altay3:2
- 29.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk3:4 SO
- 27.10Krasnoyarsk0:3
- 25.10HC Norilsk0:2
- 18.10away · Kaluga3:1
- 01.11Izhevsk1:2
- 28.10Olympia1:5
- 23.10away · Kristall Saratov2:4
- 21.10away · Dizel4:0
- 13.10away · HC Yugra1:0
Head to head
- 16.01.2026Gornyak — Buran Voronezh5:3
- 02.11.2025Buran Voronezh — Gornyak2:0
- 18.01.2025Gornyak — Buran Voronezh3:2 SO
- 31.10.2024Buran Voronezh — Gornyak0:3
- 04.12.2023Gornyak — Buran Voronezh7:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 17 | 12 | +25 | 25 |
| 11, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 18 | 11 | +6 | 24 |
| 12, Playoffs | HC Yugra | 19 | 11 | +13 | 23 |
| 17 | Olympia | 22 | 10 | -3 | 21 |
| 18 | Gornyak | 17 | 9 | +3 | 20 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 18 | 8 | -5 | 19 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskTambovpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- OrskKristall Saratovpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- CSK VVSMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Magnitka MagnitogorskDizelpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- BarsKrasnoyarskpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- KhimikHC Yugrapreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- Zvezda MoscowRubin Tyumenpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- Dinamo St. PetersburgKurganpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →