Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Tambov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 53%, Tambov 47% including overtime.
The model expects plenty of goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.5.
Facts
- League table: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 10 pts; Tambov — No. 15, 22 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 4 wins, Tambov 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Tambov | 2.7–2.5 | |
| Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Chelmet Chelyabinsk
- Chelmet Chelyabinsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 04.11away · Omskie Krylia1:2
- 29.10Dyn. Altay3:1
- 27.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk1:3
- 25.10Krasnoyarsk2:3
- 23.10HC Norilsk1:2
- 03.11Izhevsk5:1
- 30.10Olympia4:2
- 25.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
- 23.10away · Dizel2:1
- 15.10away · HC Yugra1:6
Head to head
- 22.01.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Tambov5:2
- 27.10.2025Tambov — Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:4
- 18.01.2025Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Tambov4:1
- 02.11.2024Tambov — Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:1 SO
- 06.12.2023Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Tambov4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 18 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 15, Playoffs | Tambov | 18 | 10 | +1 | 22 |
| 16, Playoffs | Ryazan | 22 | 9 | -6 | 22 |
| 29 | CSK VVS | 18 | 4 | -27 | 10 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 18 | 4 | -33 | 10 |
VHL on the same day
- GornyakBuran Voronezhpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskKristall Saratovpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- CSK VVSMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Magnitka MagnitogorskDizelpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- BarsKrasnoyarskpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- KhimikHC Yugrapreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- Zvezda MoscowRubin Tyumenpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
- Dinamo St. PetersburgKurganpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →