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VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)

Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Tambov

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Model prediction for 17 November

Chelmet Chelyabinsk42%
Draw in regulation22%
Tambov36%
Model estimate at (UTC+3)

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 53%, Tambov 47% including overtime.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.7 and 2.5.

Facts

  • League table: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — No. 30, 10 pts; Tambov — No. 15, 22 pts. A gap of 12 pts.
  • Last 5 meetings: Chelmet Chelyabinsk 4 wins, Tambov 1.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Tambov2.7–2.5
Chelmet Chelyabinsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)53%
Tambov to win (incl. OT and shootout)47%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)48%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)52%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Chelmet Chelyabinsk
  • Chelmet Chelyabinsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Chelmet Chelyabinsk

  • 04.11away · Omskie Krylia1:2
  • 29.10Dyn. Altay3:1
  • 27.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk1:3
  • 25.10Krasnoyarsk2:3
  • 23.10HC Norilsk1:2

Tambov

  • 03.11Izhevsk5:1
  • 30.10Olympia4:2
  • 25.10away · Kristall Saratov2:3
  • 23.10away · Dizel2:1
  • 15.10away · HC Yugra1:6

Head to head

  • 22.01.2026Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Tambov5:2
  • 27.10.2025Tambov — Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:4
  • 18.01.2025Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Tambov4:1
  • 02.11.2024Tambov — Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:1 SO
  • 06.12.2023Chelmet Chelyabinsk — Tambov4:1

Full record: 6 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
14, PlayoffsKristall Saratov18111647–54-723
15, PlayoffsTambov18102648–47+122
16, PlayoffsRyazan2294946–52-622
29CSK VVS18421235–62-2710
30Chelmet Chelyabinsk18421231–64-3310

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →