VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Dinamo St. Petersburg — Kurgan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Dinamo St. Petersburg are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Dinamo St. Petersburg are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Dinamo St. Petersburg — No. 19, 19 pts; Kurgan — No. 27, 14 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Dinamo St. Petersburg 3 wins, Kurgan 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Dinamo St. Petersburg — Kurgan | 2.8–2.1 | |
| Dinamo St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 64% | |
| Kurgan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 36% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Dinamo St. Petersburg
- Dinamo St. Petersburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11away · HC Norilsk2:3 SO
- 26.10Kaluga3:0
- 24.10AKM2:1 SO
- 22.10Ryazan3:4 OT
- 14.10away · Bars2:4
- 01.11Orsk4:3 OT
- 26.10away · Perm1:3
- 24.10away · Toros Neftekamsk3:4
- 22.10away · Izhevsk4:2
- 20.10away · Olympia1:3
Head to head
- 01.03.2026Kurgan — Dinamo St. Petersburg1:3
- 17.09.2025Dinamo St. Petersburg — Kurgan4:0
- 12.01.2025Kurgan — Dinamo St. Petersburg2:1 SO
- 11.11.2024Dinamo St. Petersburg — Kurgan1:0
- 12.01.2024Kurgan — Dinamo St. Petersburg3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Gornyak | 17 | 9 | +3 | 20 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 18 | 8 | -5 | 19 |
| 20 | Rubin Tyumen | 19 | 8 | -10 | 19 |
| 26 | Zvezda Moscow | 19 | 7 | -15 | 15 |
| 27 | Kurgan | 18 | 5 | -18 | 14 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 20 | 5 | -20 | 12 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskTambovpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- GornyakBuran Voronezhpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskKristall Saratovpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- CSK VVSMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Magnitka MagnitogorskDizelpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- BarsKrasnoyarskpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- KhimikHC Yugrapreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- Zvezda MoscowRubin Tyumenpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →