VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
CSK VVS — Metallurg Novokuznetsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Metallurg Novokuznetsk are clear favourites: 69% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.
Why
- Metallurg Novokuznetsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 1.8.
Facts
- League table: CSK VVS — No. 29, 10 pts; Metallurg Novokuznetsk — No. 7, 27 pts. A gap of 17 pts.
- CSK VVS: 5 defeats in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: CSK VVS 2 wins, Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: CSK VVS — Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 1.8–2.7 | |
| CSK VVS to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 31% | |
| Metallurg Novokuznetsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 69% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 34% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 66% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap CSK VVS
- CSK VVS goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 23.10away · Bars2:3
- 21.10away · Almetyevsk2:3 OT
- 12.10SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:5
- 10.10Dinamo St. Petersburg3:5
- 08.10Zvezda Moscow2:3
- 04.11Khimik5:6
- 29.10away · Gornyak4:3 SO
- 27.10away · Chelmet Chelyabinsk3:1
- 25.10away · Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:0
- 23.10away · Orsk1:2
Head to head
- 03.04.2026CSK VVS — Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:3
- 01.04.2026Metallurg Novokuznetsk — CSK VVS1:3
- 29.03.2026CSK VVS — Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:3
- 27.03.2026CSK VVS — Metallurg Novokuznetsk4:2
- 24.03.2026Metallurg Novokuznetsk — CSK VVS5:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Playoffs | Orsk | 19 | 11 | +11 | 28 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 21 | 12 | +14 | 27 |
| 8, Playoffs | Khimik | 20 | 11 | +22 | 26 |
| 28 | Izhevsk | 20 | 5 | -20 | 12 |
| 29 | CSK VVS | 18 | 4 | -27 | 10 |
| 30 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 18 | 4 | -33 | 10 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskTambovpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- GornyakBuran Voronezhpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskKristall Saratovpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- Magnitka MagnitogorskDizelpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- BarsKrasnoyarskpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- KhimikHC Yugrapreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- Zvezda MoscowRubin Tyumenpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
- Dinamo St. PetersburgKurganpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →