VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Dizel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Magnitka Magnitogorsk 51%, Dizel 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.0 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 25%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.0 and 1.9.
Facts
- League table: Magnitka Magnitogorsk — No. 22, 16 pts; Dizel — No. 25, 15 pts. A gap of 1 pt.
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk: 5 defeats in a row; Dizel: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Magnitka Magnitogorsk 4 wins, Dizel 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Dizel | 2.0–1.9 | |
| Magnitka Magnitogorsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Dizel to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 25% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 75% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Magnitka Magnitogorsk
- Magnitka Magnitogorsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.11away · Omskie Krylia0:1
- 27.10Dyn. Altay2:3
- 25.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:3
- 23.10Krasnoyarsk2:3 SO
- 21.10HC Norilsk2:3 OT
- 01.11Olympia4:5 SO
- 23.10Tambov1:2
- 21.10Buran Voronezh0:4
- 17.10away · HC Yugra0:3
- 15.10away · Rubin Tyumen3:2 OT
Head to head
- 04.03.2026Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Dizel2:0
- 18.09.2025Dizel — Magnitka Magnitogorsk2:8
- 23.02.2025Dizel — Magnitka Magnitogorsk3:5
- 30.09.2024Magnitka Magnitogorsk — Dizel5:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bars | 20 | 9 | -16 | 19 |
| 22 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 17 | 5 | -5 | 16 |
| 23 | Dyn. Altay | 19 | 7 | -14 | 16 |
| 24 | Krasnoyarsk | 20 | 8 | -14 | 16 |
| 25 | Dizel | 18 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 26 | Zvezda Moscow | 18 | 7 | -14 | 15 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskTambovpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- GornyakBuran Voronezhpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskKristall Saratovpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- CSK VVSMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.5
- BarsKrasnoyarskpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- KhimikHC Yugrapreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- Zvezda MoscowRubin Tyumenpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- Dinamo St. PetersburgKurganpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →