VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Orsk — Kristall Saratov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Orsk are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.
4.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 33%.
Why
- Orsk are more dangerous in attack: 2.4 expected goals against 2.1.
Facts
- League table: Orsk — No. 6, 28 pts; Kristall Saratov — No. 14, 23 pts. A gap of 5 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Orsk 2 wins, Kristall Saratov 3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Orsk — Kristall Saratov | 2.4–2.1 | |
| Orsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 56% | |
| Kristall Saratov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 44% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 33% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 67% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Orsk
- Orsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 03.11away · Rubin Tyumen4:3 SO
- 01.11away · Kurgan3:4 OT
- 30.10away · Omskie Krylia2:3 SO
- 25.10Dyn. Altay3:4 OT
- 23.10Metallurg Novokuznetsk2:1
- 03.11Olympia2:3
- 25.10Tambov3:2
- 23.10Buran Voronezh4:2
- 19.10away · HC Yugra1:3
- 17.10away · Rubin Tyumen2:1
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Orsk — Kristall Saratov1:5
- 18.09.2025Kristall Saratov — Orsk0:1
- 23.02.2025Kristall Saratov — Orsk6:3
- 28.09.2024Orsk — Kristall Saratov4:5 SO
- 10.12.2023Orsk — Kristall Saratov1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Playoffs | Perm | 19 | 14 | +24 | 28 |
| 6, Playoffs | Orsk | 19 | 11 | +11 | 28 |
| 7, Playoffs | Metallurg Novokuznetsk | 21 | 12 | +14 | 27 |
| 13, Playoffs | Toros Neftekamsk | 19 | 10 | +4 | 23 |
| 14, Playoffs | Kristall Saratov | 18 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 15, Playoffs | Tambov | 18 | 10 | +1 | 22 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskTambovpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- GornyakBuran Voronezhpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- CSK VVSMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Magnitka MagnitogorskDizelpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- BarsKrasnoyarskpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- KhimikHC Yugrapreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- Zvezda MoscowRubin Tyumenpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
- Dinamo St. PetersburgKurganpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →