VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
Kaluga — AKM
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Kaluga 52%, AKM 48% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.1 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 27%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.1 and 2.0.
Facts
- League table: Kaluga — No. 9, 26 pts; AKM — No. 4, 29 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Kaluga: 3 defeats in a row.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Kaluga — AKM | 2.1–2.0 | |
| Kaluga to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 52% | |
| AKM to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 48% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 27% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 73% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Kaluga
- Kaluga goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 28.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:2
- 26.10away · Dinamo St. Petersburg0:3
- 24.10away · Zvezda Moscow2:3 OT
- 22.10away · Khimik3:2 SO
- 18.10Gornyak1:3
- 02.11Bars3:0
- 26.10away · SKA-VMF St. Petersburg0:5
- 24.10away · Dinamo St. Petersburg1:2 SO
- 22.10away · Zvezda Moscow3:4 OT
- 20.10away · Khimik3:2 SO
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Playoffs | Almetyevsk | 19 | 15 | +19 | 30 |
| 4, Playoffs | AKM | 21 | 12 | +13 | 29 |
| 5, Playoffs | Perm | 19 | 14 | +24 | 28 |
| 8, Playoffs | Khimik | 20 | 11 | +22 | 26 |
| 9, Playoffs | Kaluga | 20 | 11 | +9 | 26 |
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 17 | 12 | +25 | 25 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskTambovpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- GornyakBuran Voronezhpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskKristall Saratovpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- CSK VVSMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Magnitka MagnitogorskDizelpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- BarsKrasnoyarskpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- KhimikHC Yugrapreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- Zvezda MoscowRubin Tyumenpreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →