VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 17 November, (UTC+3)
SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Omskie Krylia
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 50%, Omskie Krylia 50% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 3.8 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 21%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 1.9 and 1.9.
Facts
- League table: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — No. 10, 25 pts; Omskie Krylia — No. 1, 34 pts. A gap of 9 pts.
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg: 4 wins in a row; Omskie Krylia: 5 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg 4 wins, Omskie Krylia 1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Omskie Krylia | 1.9–1.9 | |
| SKA-VMF St. Petersburg to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 50% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 21% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 79% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap SKA-VMF St. Petersburg
- SKA-VMF St. Petersburg goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 28.10Kaluga2:0
- 26.10AKM5:0
- 24.10Ryazan4:0
- 16.10away · Bars4:0
- 14.10away · Almetyevsk1:2 SO
- 04.11Chelmet Chelyabinsk2:1
- 02.11Magnitka Magnitogorsk1:0
- 30.10Orsk3:2 SO
- 24.10away · Perm3:2
- 22.10away · Toros Neftekamsk2:0
Head to head
- 25.02.2026Omskie Krylia — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg1:0 SO
- 17.09.2025SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Omskie Krylia2:1 OT
- 08.01.2025Omskie Krylia — SKA-VMF St. Petersburg3:5
- 11.11.2024SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Omskie Krylia3:1
- 01.02.2024SKA-VMF St. Petersburg — Omskie Krylia2:1 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Omskie Krylia | 20 | 17 | +28 | 34 |
| 2, Playoffs | HC Norilsk | 22 | 15 | +10 | 32 |
| 9, Playoffs | Kaluga | 20 | 11 | +9 | 26 |
| 10, Playoffs | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 17 | 12 | +25 | 25 |
| 11, Playoffs | Buran Voronezh | 18 | 11 | +6 | 24 |
VHL on the same day
- Chelmet ChelyabinskTambovpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- GornyakBuran Voronezhpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5
- OrskKristall Saratovpreliminary56441The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- CSK VVSMetallurg Novokuznetskpreliminary31692The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 1:34.5
- Magnitka MagnitogorskDizelpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- BarsKrasnoyarskpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.0
- KhimikHC Yugrapreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
- Zvezda MoscowRubin Tyumenpreliminary53471The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →