EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

Maxima Roma — Venezia

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Model prediction for 21 October

Maxima Roma49%
Venezia51%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Maxima Roma 49%, Venezia 51%.

The model expects a score around 84:84 — 169 points in total.

Over 168.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Maxima Roma −1.4, Venezia +1.2 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Maxima Roma — Venezia84.3–84.5
Total over 168.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 168.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Maxima Roma points
  • Venezia points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Maxima Roma

  • 06.10away · Turk Telekom77:92
  • 30.09Cluj-Napoca89:55

Venezia

  • 07.10away · Cluj-Napoca92:98
  • 29.09Frankfurt104:72
  • 11.03Trento90:94
  • 11.02Hapoel Jerusalem83:80
  • 04.02away · Manresa91:75

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group B

Table «Group B», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsVenezia211.500—
2, PlayoffsMaxima Roma211.500—
3, PlayoffsLondon Lions211.500—
4, PlayoffsTurk Telekom211.500—
5Tenerife211.500—
6Siauliai211.500—
7Frankfurt211.500—
8Cluj-Napoca211.500—

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.6
  • PAOKUlmpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.8
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.9
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —168.1
  • JL BourgTrentopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.3
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —159.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →