AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Van Andel Arena

Grand Rapids Griffins — Manitoba Moose

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Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Grand Rapids Griffins53%
Draw in regulation21%
Manitoba Moose26%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Grand Rapids Griffins to win (65% incl. overtime), came true.

Grand Rapids Griffins are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 5.2 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 46%.

Why

  • Grand Rapids Griffins are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Grand Rapids Griffins — Manitoba Moose3.0–2.2
Grand Rapids Griffins to win (incl. OT and shootout)65%
Manitoba Moose to win (incl. OT and shootout)35%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)46%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)54%

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Form

Grand Rapids Griffins

  • 04.10away · Cleveland Monsters4:5 OT
  • 03.10away · Cleveland Monsters5:2
  • 22.05away · Chicago Wolves2:3
  • 20.05away · Chicago Wolves4:3 OT
  • 17.05Chicago Wolves3:4 OT

Manitoba Moose

  • 04.10Chicago Wolves8:3
  • 03.10Chicago Wolves3:0
  • 09.05away · Grand Rapids Griffins2:5
  • 07.05away · Grand Rapids Griffins2:4
  • 03.05Grand Rapids Griffins0:2

Head to head

  • 09.05.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Manitoba Moose5:2
  • 07.05.2026Grand Rapids Griffins — Manitoba Moose4:2
  • 03.05.2026Manitoba Moose — Grand Rapids Griffins0:2
  • 02.05.2026Manitoba Moose — Grand Rapids Griffins1:0
  • 04.04.2026Manitoba Moose — Grand Rapids Griffins2:7

Full record: 29 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−PtsP%
2Milwaukee Admirals22007–2+541.000
3Manitoba Moose430118–6+126.750
4Laval Rocket430116–7+96.750
10Coachella Valley Firebirds422019–14+56.750
11Grand Rapids Griffins531117–13+47.700
12Ontario Reign320111–13-24.667

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss, ranked by points percentage

Full table

Next matches

AHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →