AHL (American Hockey League) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Amica Mutual Pavilion
Providence Bruins — Hartford Wolf Pack
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Providence Bruins to win (66% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 66% fails in about 34 matches out of 100 on average.
Providence Bruins are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 5.3 in total, against a competition average of 5.8.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 48%.
Why
- Providence Bruins are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Providence Bruins — Hartford Wolf Pack | 3.1–2.2 | |
| Providence Bruins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Hartford Wolf Pack to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 48% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 52% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Providence Bruins
- Providence Bruins goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 04.10Springfield Thunderbirds0:2
- 03.10Utica Comets1:2
- 08.05away · Springfield Thunderbirds0:1 OT
- 06.05away · Springfield Thunderbirds2:3 OT
- 04.05Springfield Thunderbirds2:1
- 05.10away · Wilkes-Barre/Scranton3:2
- 04.10away · Lehigh Valley Phantoms5:2
- 19.04away · Springfield Thunderbirds3:4
- 18.04Springfield Thunderbirds7:5
- 16.04Bridgeport Islanders2:5
Head to head
- 11.04.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Providence Bruins1:4
- 15.03.2026Providence Bruins — Hartford Wolf Pack7:0
- 05.03.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Providence Bruins2:3
- 22.02.2026Providence Bruins — Hartford Wolf Pack2:5
- 08.02.2026Hartford Wolf Pack — Providence Bruins1:2 SO
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Springfield Thunderbirds | 4 | 2 | -1 | 5 | .625 |
| 18 | Hartford Wolf Pack | 5 | 3 | -3 | 6 | .600 |
| 19 | Tucson Roadrunners | 4 | 2 | +2 | 4 | .500 |
| 29 | Syracuse Crunch | 4 | 1 | -10 | 2 | .250 |
| 30 | Providence Bruins | 5 | 1 | -5 | 2 | .200 |
| 31 | Lehigh Valley Phantoms | 3 | 0 | -7 | 1 | .167 |
Next matches
- Hartford Wolf PackWilkes-Barre/Scranton11 October · AHL39612The most likely outcome came true: 221%1:7Final score 1:7. Model's score: 2:4.5.5
- Providence BruinsCharlotte Checkers11 October · AHL49512The most likely outcome did not happen: 223%6:2Final score 6:2. Model's score: 2:3.4.9
AHL on the same day
- 65351The most likely outcome came true: 121%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 4:2.5.2
- 50501The most likely outcome did not happen: 121%4:5SOFinal score 4:5 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.6.1
- 45552The most likely outcome did not happen: 222%7:1Final score 7:1. Model's score: 2:3.5.3
- 51491The most likely outcome did not happen: 122%1:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 3:2.5.5
- 43572The most likely outcome did not happen: 220%2:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:4.6.2
- 64361The most likely outcome came true: 121%4:3SOFinal score 4:3 in a shootout. Model's score: 4:2.5.3
- 61391The most likely outcome came true: 120%6:3Final score 6:3. Model's score: 4:2.5.9
- 56441The most likely outcome did not happen: 120%4:7Final score 4:7. Model's score: 4:2.6.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →