Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

KooKoo — Assat

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Model prediction for 28 October

KooKoo50%
Draw in regulation21%
Assat29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

KooKoo are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 51%.

Why

  • KooKoo are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: KooKoo — Assat3.0–2.4
KooKoo to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
Assat to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)51%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap KooKoo
  • KooKoo goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

KooKoo

  • 10.10away · Hameenlinna3:5
  • 09.10Jukurit4:1
  • 03.10Pelicans3:6
  • 30.09away · Tappara0:3
  • 26.09Jukurit3:5

Assat

  • 09.10Hameenlinna2:3 SO
  • 07.10away · Jukurit1:0
  • 03.10away · Lukko5:2
  • 02.10Lukko0:3
  • 26.09away · Hameenlinna4:5 OT

Head to head

  • 04.02.2026KooKoo — Assat3:1
  • 28.01.2026Assat — KooKoo2:5
  • 31.10.2025Assat — KooKoo1:2
  • 09.09.2025KooKoo — Assat1:5
  • 28.02.2025KooKoo — Assat4:3 SO

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsJukurit14630536–29+724
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAssat12612330–27+322
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsKarpat13523335–34+122
16, Relegation play-offJokerit13212825–42-1710
17, RelegationKooKoo121011025–52-274

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Liiga on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
  • JukuritLukkopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.6
  • JYPTapparapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.6
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • PelicansSaiPapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →