NHL · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils — Vancouver Canucks

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Model prediction and result

4:1Came true
New Jersey Devils49%
Draw in regulation22%
Vancouver Canucks29%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 4:1: the model's most likely outcome, New Jersey Devils to win (62% incl. overtime), came true.

New Jersey Devils are favourites: 62% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 57%.

Why

  • New Jersey Devils are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: New Jersey Devils — Vancouver Canucks3.2–2.5
New Jersey Devils to win (incl. OT and shootout)62%
Vancouver Canucks to win (incl. OT and shootout)38%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)57%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)43%

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Form

New Jersey Devils

  • 07.10Utah Mammoth3:5
  • 04.10away · New York Islanders0:6
  • 02.10Philadelphia Flyers3:2 OT
  • 15.04away · Boston Bruins0:4
  • 13.04Ottawa Senators4:3 OT

Vancouver Canucks

  • 09.10away · Carolina Hurricanes2:7
  • 05.10Vegas Golden Knights2:3
  • 04.10Calgary Flames4:1
  • 02.10Edmonton Oilers7:9
  • 30.09away · Edmonton Oilers6:5 OT

Head to head

  • 24.01.2026Vancouver Canucks — New Jersey Devils4:5
  • 14.12.2025New Jersey Devils — Vancouver Canucks1:2
  • 25.03.2025New Jersey Devils — Vancouver Canucks3:4 SO
  • 31.10.2024Vancouver Canucks — New Jersey Devils0:6
  • 07.01.2024New Jersey Devils — Vancouver Canucks4:6

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
25Columbus Blue Jackets420213–14-14
26New Jersey Devils520311–18-74
27Vancouver Canucks720524–35-114
28Detroit Red Wings511310–15-53

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Next matches

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →