Premium
EN
Sections

SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Timra — Vaxjo

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 29 October

Timra42%
Draw in regulation23%
Vaxjo35%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Timra are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Timra — Vaxjo2.5–2.3
Timra to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Vaxjo to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)40%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)60%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Timra
  • Timra goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Timra

  • 10.10away · Lulea3:2 OT
  • 08.10Frolunda4:1
  • 03.10Skelleftea1:4
  • 01.10away · Rogle1:4
  • 29.09away · Brynas0:1

Vaxjo

  • 10.10away · Orebro2:4
  • 08.10Linkoping0:3
  • 03.10Rogle3:2
  • 01.10away · IF Bjorkloven2:4
  • 26.09HV 717:5

Head to head

  • 14.03.2026Timra — Vaxjo1:3
  • 20.12.2025Vaxjo — Timra5:2
  • 27.11.2025Vaxjo — Timra4:2
  • 18.09.2025Timra — Vaxjo2:1
  • 11.03.2025Vaxjo — Timra2:5

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea8301420–26-610
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsVaxjo8211425–30-59
11Djurgarden8211416–22-69
12HV 718121424–29-58
13, Relegation play-offTimra8120515–22-77
14, Relegation play-offLinkoping7201412–23-117

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasFarjestadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • LuleaIF Bjorklovenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • OrebroFrolundapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • RogleMalmopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
  • SkellefteaLinkopingpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.1
  • DjurgardenHV 71preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →