Tennis: ATP, Tokyo, hard · Sunday, 4 October, MSK

Lehecka J. — Vallejo D.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Lehecka J.74%
Vallejo D.26%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Lehecka J. to win (74%), came true.

Lehecka J. are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.

Over 23.5 games — 48%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Lehecka J. 1745, Vallejo D. 1556.

Probabilities

Games over 23.548%
Games under 23.552%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Lehecka J. games
  • Vallejo D. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Lehecka J.

  • 03.10Humbert U.2:1
  • 01.10Bergs Z.2:1

Vallejo D.

  • 03.10Berrettini M.2:0
  • 01.10Jodar R.2:0
  • 29.09Faria J.2:1
  • 28.09Daniel T.2:0
  • 26.09Wong C.1:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Lehecka J.Vacherot V.5 October · ATP · Tokyo
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Vallejo D.Royer V.8 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.25.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.24.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.24.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →