Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
AC Basse Goulaine — Sablé FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:7Came true
In short
Final score 0:7: the model's most likely outcome, Sablé FC to win (50%), came true.
Sablé FC are clear favourites: 50% against 25% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Sablé FC are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
- Sablé FC are 70 points higher on Elo.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: AC Basse Goulaine — Sablé FC What is xG? | 1.1–1.7 | |
| AC Basse Goulaine not to lose | 50% | |
| Sablé FC not to lose | 75% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap AC Basse Goulaine
- AC Basse Goulaine goals
- Sablé FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 30.10away · JSC Bellevue Nantes0:2
- 16.10away · Spay1:1
- 27.10Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant0:1
- 15.11St Malo0:0
- 26.10away · Le Mans Villaret4:1
- 16.11away · La Saint Colomban Locminé2:4
- 27.10away · Saint-Andre Saint-Macaire5:0
- 30.10away · Plouvorn0:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next match
- ES BuxerollesSablé FC14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary2225532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
Coupe de France on the same day
- 5524211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 2225532The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 3627372The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:2.2.7
- 3327402The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 3927341The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4227311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 4227321The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →