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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Haut D'Allier — Cournon d'Auvergne

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Model prediction and result

0:4Missed
Haut D'Allier42%
Draw27%
Cournon d'Auvergne31%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:4: the model's most likely outcome, Haut D'Allier to win (42%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 42% fails in about 58 matches out of 100 on average.

Haut D'Allier are slightly stronger: 42% against 31%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Haut D'Allier are 98 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Haut D'Allier — Cournon d'Auvergne What is xG?1.5–1.3
Haut D'Allier not to lose69%
Cournon d'Auvergne not to lose58%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Haut D'Allier
  • Haut D'Allier goals
  • Cournon d'Auvergne goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Haut D'Allier

No past matches in the data yet.

Cournon d'Auvergne

  • 25.10Le Puy0:5
  • 29.10RC Pays de Grasse0:2
  • 15.10Moulins Yzeure1:1
  • 07.12Niort0:2
  • 17.11away · Mozac US3:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →