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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

Generation Emblavez Jeunes — ES Veauche

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Model prediction and result

0:0Missed
Generation Emblavez Jeunes39%
Draw27%
ES Veauche34%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Generation Emblavez Jeunes to win (39%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 39% fails in about 61 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: Generation Emblavez Jeunes 39%, ES Veauche 34%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • Generation Emblavez Jeunes are 70 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Generation Emblavez Jeunes — ES Veauche What is xG?1.4–1.3
Generation Emblavez Jeunes not to lose66%
ES Veauche not to lose61%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.552%
Total under 2.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Generation Emblavez Jeunes
  • Generation Emblavez Jeunes goals
  • ES Veauche goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Generation Emblavez Jeunes

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ES Veauche

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Head to head

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Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →