Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
FC Bastia-Borgo — Balagne FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, FC Bastia-Borgo to win (55%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 55% fails in about 45 matches out of 100 on average.
FC Bastia-Borgo are clear favourites: 55% against 21% for the opponent, draw 24%.
The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings FC Bastia-Borgo are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- FC Bastia-Borgo are 234 points higher on Elo.
Facts
- Last 2 meetings: FC Bastia-Borgo 1 win, Balagne FC 0, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Bastia-Borgo — Balagne FC What is xG? | 1.8–1.0 | |
| FC Bastia-Borgo not to lose | 79% | |
| Balagne FC not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Bastia-Borgo
- FC Bastia-Borgo goals
- Balagne FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 29.10away · Furiani Agliani1:2
- 29.10away · Nîmes0:3
- 16.10away · Afa FA4:1
- 27.11away · ES Cannet Rocheville1:1
- 14.11away · Olympique Alès2:0
- 25.10away · Furiani Agliani1:2
- 29.10away · Squadra Valincu Alta Rocca Rizzanese1:2
- 31.10FC Bastia-Borgo0:0
- 31.01Furiani Agliani0:3
- 27.10FC Bastia-Borgo2:4
Head to head
- 31.10.2021Balagne FC — FC Bastia-Borgo0:0
- 27.10.2019Balagne FC — FC Bastia-Borgo2:4
Next match
- Balagne FCMontpellier14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary511842The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.6
Coupe de France on the same day
- 2225532The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 3627372The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:2.2.7
- 3327402The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 3927341The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4227311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 4227321The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- 2726472The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →