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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

FC Deolois — SP.C. Massay

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Model prediction and result

1:4Missed
FC Deolois38%
Draw27%
SP.C. Massay35%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:4: the model's most likely outcome, FC Deolois to win (38%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 38% fails in about 62 matches out of 100 on average.

Evenly matched: FC Deolois 38%, SP.C. Massay 35%, draw 27%.

The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
  • FC Deolois are 67 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: FC Deolois — SP.C. Massay What is xG?1.4–1.3
FC Deolois not to lose65%
SP.C. Massay not to lose62%
No draw73%
Both teams to score: yes56%
Both teams to score: no44%
Total over 2.551%
Total under 2.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap FC Deolois
  • FC Deolois goals
  • SP.C. Massay goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

FC Deolois

  • 31.10J3S Amilly1:1

SP.C. Massay

No past matches in the data yet.

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • SP.C. MassayFC Montlouis14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →