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Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)

AC Portugal Tours — St-Pryve St-Hilaire

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Model prediction and result

0:1Came true
AC Portugal Tours22%
Draw25%
St-Pryve St-Hilaire53%
Model estimate at (UTC+3), the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:1: the model's most likely outcome, St-Pryve St-Hilaire to win (53%), came true.

St-Pryve St-Hilaire are clear favourites: 53% against 22% for the opponent, draw 25%.

The model expects few goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.

Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 55%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings St-Pryve St-Hilaire are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
  • St-Pryve St-Hilaire are 103 points higher on Elo.

Probabilities

Expected goals: AC Portugal Tours — St-Pryve St-Hilaire What is xG?1.1–1.8
AC Portugal Tours not to lose47%
St-Pryve St-Hilaire not to lose78%
No draw75%
Both teams to score: yes55%
Both teams to score: no45%
Total over 2.554%
Total under 2.546%

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  • Full score grid
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Form

AC Portugal Tours

  • 27.10C'Chartres Football0:2

St-Pryve St-Hilaire

  • 26.10Romorantin0:0
  • 29.10Orléans1:1
  • 19.11away · Bourges Foot 181:1
  • 29.10Dijon1:1
  • 16.10away · Olivet5:1

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • USM SenlisSt-Pryve St-Hilaire14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.8

Coupe de France on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →