Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
US Mer — Bourges Foot 18
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
0:3Came true
In short
Final score 0:3: the model's most likely outcome, Bourges Foot 18 to win (37%), came true.
Evenly matched: US Mer 36%, Bourges Foot 18 37%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 51%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: US Mer — Bourges Foot 18 What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| US Mer not to lose | 63% | |
| Bourges Foot 18 not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 51% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 49% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap US Mer
- US Mer goals
- Bourges Foot 18 goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
No past matches in the data yet.
- 08.01away · Chamalières0:0
- 19.11St-Pryve St-Hilaire1:1
- 29.10AS St Apollinaire0:0
- 16.10Chateauneuf sur Loire5:1
- 06.02away · Orléans2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Next match
- SedanBourges Foot 1814 November · Coupe de France · preliminary4926261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:12.8
Coupe de France on the same day
- 5524211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 2225532The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 3327402The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.7
- 3927341The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4227311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 4227321The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- 2726472The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →