Coupe de France, round 6 · Sunday, 25 October, (UTC+3)
FC Montlouis — UF Touraine
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
2:1Missed
In short
Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, UF Touraine to win (40%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 40% fails in about 60 matches out of 100 on average.
UF Touraine are slightly stronger: 40% against 33%, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.7 in total, against a competition average of 3.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 52%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings UF Touraine are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Montlouis — UF Touraine What is xG? | 1.3–1.4 | |
| FC Montlouis not to lose | 60% | |
| UF Touraine not to lose | 67% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 52% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 48% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Montlouis
- FC Montlouis goals
- UF Touraine goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 26.10away · UF Touraine0:1
- 26.10away · Tours1:2
- 18.11Bergerac Perigord0:4
- 29.10away · US Petite Beauce2:0
- 23.11AF Virois1:2
Head to head
- 26.10.2025UF Touraine — FC Montlouis1:0
Next match
- SP.C. MassayFC Montlouis14 November · Coupe de France · preliminary4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
Coupe de France on the same day
- 5524211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.9
- 2225532The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
- 3827351The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:4Final score 1:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 3627372The most likely outcome came true: 20:3Final score 0:3. Model's score: 0:2.2.7
- 3927341The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 4227311The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:4Final score 0:4. Model's score: 2:1.2.8
- 4227321The most likely outcome did not happen: 13:4Final score 3:4. Model's score: 2:0.2.8
- 2726472The most likely outcome came true: 20:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 0:2.2.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →